Wednesday, December 7, 2011

Predicting the NFC playoff field

1. Green Bay Packers
Currently 12-0
Remaining schedule vs. Oak., @ KC, vs. Chi., vs. Det.
Projected finish 16-0
I'd be shocked if the Packers lost a regular season game.

2. San Francisco 49ers
Currently 10-2
Remaining schedule @ Arz., vs. Pitt., @ Sea., @ Stl.
Projected finish 13-3
The 49ers will clinch the second seed with three more wins.

3. New Orleans Saints
Currently 9-3
Remaining schedule @ Ten., @ Min., vs. Atl., vs. Car.
Projected finish 12-4
New Orleans needs three more wins to clinch the NFC South.

4. Dallas Cowboys
Currently 7-5
Remaining schedule vs. NYG, @ Tampa, vs. Phi., @ NYG
Projected finish 10-6
Dallas gets the win this Sunday, essentially clinching the division.

5. Atlanta Falcons
Currently 7-5
Remaining schedule @ Car., vs. Jack., @ NO, vs. Tampa
Projected finish 10-6
Falcons should be 9-7 at worst with this schedule. They currently hold the tiebreaker with every other contending Wild Card team.

6. Chicago Bears
Currently 7-5
Remaining schedule @ Den., Sea., @ GB, @ Min.
Projected finish 9-7
The last spot could go to a number of teams. Caleb Hanie has played terribly the last two weeks, but the Bears still control their own destiny and hold the tiebreaker over the Lions and Giants. The Lions (7-5) have lost five of seven and have the Raiders and Packers left on their schedule. The Giants (6-6) have lost four straight and have the Cowboys twice and the Jets left. It seems inevitable that the NFC's sixth seed will only have nine wins, so don't leave Seattle out of the equation. At 5-7, the Seahawks would need to win out, but with games against the Rams, Bears and Cardinals, I could see Seattle getting close. Their Week 16 matchup against the 49ers could prove problematic, but if San Francisco has nothing to play for, Seattle could pull the upset.

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